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There is a lot of underlying infrastructure yet to be built - to help decentralized exchanges discover and share order volume, split economics - as well as the consumer and professional trading infrastructure to make this easier and more approachable. Brokerages would block trading of equities suspected of being manipulated in their UI, but buyers would still call their brokers to manually override and ride the pump (either up or down). As a historical example, look back to penny stock spamming pump and dump schemes of 10 years ago.
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Market forces will drive all decentralized order books to share and interconnect - but once the entire market is completely connected, exchanges become completely, well, exchangeable.Ī major driver spurring decentralization will likely be regulation - as certain currencies or exchange of currencies becomes more heavily regulated, it will drive behavior either to institutions that have proper compliance (for institutional investors) or underground.įor instance, even if a token offering is deemed an illegal equity offering, there still may exist a market of buyers and speculators. Current centralized exchanges - while currently minting a huge amount of profit - are eager to see how their business will evolve. Many are quick to note the challenges of building a liquid and deep market in a decentralized fashion.
Also in question today is how much these markets will eat into Amazon’s AWS or Google’s cloud businesses - or whether many speculative operators will run their businesses on top of these platforms. The winners will naturally bring the speculators (both purely financial and node providers) required to make a market. Still uncertain are which protocols, existing or yet to be created, will be the winners. We may even see miners for hire - who will provide their hash power to secure a particular coin with a contractual bounty - above and beyond the transaction and block rewards the protocols offer natively. We expect to see one or more major digital commodities traded readily.
when you can simply hook your equipment into a standardized service that has payments baked in?
Why have every hosting company compete for user acquisition and retention, set up billing accounts, etc. Advances in blockchain technology will make it easier for marketplaces to form - and bring a huge amount of supply online. One of the biggest areas facing disruption will be electronically deliverable (and verifiable) services: compute, bandwidth, and similar. Some in the financial community are already calling for the $40,000 price mark in 2018 alone.Ģ. If just one country's worth alleged corruption confiscations were moved to Bitcoin to escape seizure, it would nearly 5X the total amount of value trusted to the currency today. This volume growth is while most institutional managers are still sitting on the sidelines, waiting for custodianship technology to mature.Įven the corruption use cases alone still have orders of magnitude more growth for total market capitalization of Bitcoin. Daily transaction volumes (in USD) for Bitcoin are currently around 100X what they were at the beginning of this year, when the price was hovering closer to $1,000 per Bitcoin. ĭespite this year's appreciation, usage is outpacing Bitcoin's price. Many along the sidelines may call tulip bubble, our society has never had an element so global and so artificially scarce before.
Short of entire system failure, Bitcoin is currently the most battle-tested crypto asset - and we are still early in the exponential curve.
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